Journal of Peking University (Health Sciences) ›› 2024, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (4): 567-574. doi: 10.19723/j.issn.1671-167X.2024.04.004

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Predictive effect of the dual-parametric MRI modified maximum diameter of the lesions with PI-RADS 4 and 5 on the clinically significant prostate cancer

Yuxuan TIAN1,Mingjian RUAN1,Yi LIU1,Derun LI1,Jingyun WU2,Qi SHEN1,Yu FAN1,3,*(),Jie JIN1,*()   

  1. 1. Department of Urology, Peking University First Hospital; Institute of Urology, Peking University; National Urological Cancer Center, Beijing 100034, China
    2. Department of Radiology, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing 100034, China
    3. Drug Clinical Trial Institution, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing 100034, China
  • Received:2024-03-20 Online:2024-08-18 Published:2024-07-23
  • Contact: Yu FAN,Jie JIN E-mail:dantefanbmu@126.com;jinjie@vip.163.com
  • Supported by:
    the National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding (Interdepartmental Clinical Research Project of Peking University First Hospital)(2022CR16)

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Abstract:

Objective: To assess the rationality of the maximum lesion diameter of 15 mm in prostate imaging reporting and data system (PI-RADS) as a criterion for upgrading a lesion from category 4 to 5 and improve it to enhance the prediction of clinically significant prostate cancer (csPCa). Methods: In this study, the patients who underwent prostate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and prostate biopsy at Peking University First Hospital from 2019 to 2022 as a development cohort, and the patients in 2023 as a validation cohort were reviewed. The localization and maximum diameter of the lesion were fully evaluated. The area under the curve (AUC) and the cut-off value of the maximum diameter of the lesion to predict the detection of csPCa were calculated from the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve. Confounding factors were reduced by propensity score matching (PSM). Diagnostic efficacy was compared in the validation cohort. Results: Of the 589 patients in the development cohort, 358 (60.8%) lesions were located in the peripheral zone and 231 (39.2%) were located in the transition zone, and 496 (84.2%) patients detected csPCa. The median diameter of the lesions in the peripheral zone was smaller than that in the transition zone (14 mm vs. 19 mm, P < 0.001). In the ROC analysis of the maximal diameter on the csPCa prediction, there was no statistically significant difference between the peri-pheral zone (AUC=0.709) and the transition zone (AUC=0.673, P=0.585), and the cut-off values were calculated to be 11.5 mm for the peripheral zone and 16.5 mm for the migrating zone. By calcula-ting the Youden index for the cut-off values in the validation cohort, we found that the categorisation by lesion location led to better predictive results. Finally, the net reclassification index (NRI) was 0.170. Conclusion: 15 mm as a criterion for upgrading the PI-RADS score from 4 to 5 is reasonable but too general. The cut-off value for peripheral zone lesions is smaller than that in transitional zone. In the future consideration could be given to setting separate cut-off values for lesions in different locations.

Key words: Prostatic neoplasms, Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging, Biopsy, Clinical decision rules, Prostate imaging reporting and data system

CLC Number: 

  • R737.25

Figure 1

Magnetic resonance imaging of the lesions with PI-RADS 4 Lesion (arrow) in the left central peripheral zone of the prostate with mild low signal on T2WI (A) and mild high signal on DWI (B). Lesion in the right central transition zone of the prostate (arrow) with mild low signal on T2WI (C) and mild high signal on DWI (D). PI-RADS, prostate imaging reporting and data system; T2WI, T2 weighted imaging; DWI, diffusion-weighted imaging."

Table 1

Clinical characteristics of research population"

Characteristics (before PSM) Development cohort (n=589) Validation cohort (n=254)
Age/years 69.00 (64.00, 75.50) 68.00 (63.00, 74.00)
Diameter of lesion/mm 16.00 (12.00, 22.00) 14.00 (9.00, 19.00)
PSA/(μg/L) 11.20 (7.37, 18.39) 10.58 (7.02, 15.35)
Prostate volume/mL 44.27 (35.96, 60.15) 43.00 (33.70, 60.99)
csPCa 496 (84.2) 184 (72.4)
ciPCa 39 (6.6) 17 (6.7)
nPCa 54 (9.2) 53 (20.9)
Location
  Peripheral zone 358 (60.8) 189 (74.4)
  Transition zone 231 (39.2) 65 (25.6)
PI-RADS score
  4 307 (52.1) 143 (56.3)
  5 254 (47.9) 111 (43.7)

Table 2

Clinical characteristics of development cohort"

Characteristics (before PSM) Peripheral zone (n=358) Transitional zone (n=231) P value
Age/years 69.00 (64.00, 76.00) 69.00 (64.00, 75.00) 0.936
Diameter of lesion/mm 14.00 (10.00, 19.00) 19.00 (15.00, 24.00) < 0.001
PSA/(μg/L) 10.23 (6.71, 16.43) 12.69 (8.67, 21.36) < 0.001
Prostate volume/mL 43.06 (35.10, 58.91) 45.64 (37.84, 62.11) 0.087
csPCa < 0.001
  0 37 (10.3) 56 (24.2)
  1 321 (89.7) 175 (75.8)
PI-RADS score 0.079
  4 197 (55.0) 110 (47.6)
  5 161 (45.0) 121 (52.4)

Table 3

Clinical characteristics of validation cohort"

Characteristics Peripheral zone (n=189) Transitional zone (n=65) P value
Age/years 68.00 (63.00, 74.00) 68.00 (64.00, 74.00) 0.812
Diameter of lesion/mm 14.00 (9.00, 18.00) 18.00 (13.00, 23.50) < 0.001
PSA/(μg/L) 10.30 (6.58, 14.09) 11.15 (7.51, 18.22) 0.017
Prostate volume/mL 42.00 (32.50, 60.42) 47.90 (38.00, 64.15) 0.125
csPCa < 0.001
  0 42 (22.2) 28 (43.1)
  1 147 (77.8) 37 (56.9)
PI-RADS score 0.297
  4 110 (58.2) 33 (50.8)
  5 79 (41.8) 32 (49.2)

Figure 2

ROC curve showing the accuracy of maximum diameter of the lesions as a predictor of csPCa A, all lesions; B, transition zone; C, peripheral zone. csPCa, clinical significant prostate cancer; ROC, receiver operating characteristics; AUC, area under curve."

Table 4

Optimal cut-off value and AUC of the maximum diameter of the lesions in development cohort"

Items AUC Cut-off value/mm Sensitivity (95%CI) Specificity (95%CI) Youden index
All 0.596 16.5 0.476 (0.431-0.521) 0.699 (0.594-0.787) 0.175
Peripheral zone 0.709 11.5 0.713 (0.660-0.762) 0.622 (0.448-0.771) 0.335
Transition zone 0.673 16.5 0.703 (0.628-0.768) 0.607 (0.468-0.732) 0.310

Table 5

Sensitivity and specificity for different cut-off values in development cohort"

Cut-off value/mm Peripheral zone Transition zone
Sensitivity Specificity Sensitivity Specificity
10.5 0.763 0.541 0.977 0.107
11.5 0.713 0.622 0.966 0.125
12.5 0.642 0.649 0.954 0.125
13.5 0.573 0.703 0.937 0.125
14.5 0.477 0.784 0.880 0.196
15.5 0.393 0.838 0.789 0.446
16.5 0.352 0.838 0.703 0.607
17.5 0.299 0.865 0.611 0.661
18.5 0.268 0.865 0.566 0.679
19.5 0.246 0.865 0.520 0.696
20.5 0.196 0.892 0.457 0.732

Table 6

Clinical characteristics of development cohort after PSM"

Characteristics (after PSM) Peripheral zone (n=214) Transitional zone (n=214) P value
Age/years 70.00 (63.75, 76.00) 69.50 (64.00, 75.00) 0.657
Diameter of lesion/mm 15.00 (11.00, 20.00) 18.50 (15.00, 23.25) < 0.001
PSA/(μg/L) 12.14 (7.37, 20.42) 12.55 (8.51, 20.35) 0.841
Prostate volume/mL 42.56 (34.64, 60.48) 45.54 (37.93, 60.41) 0.387
csPCa 0.541
  0 37 (17.3) 41 (19.2)
  1 177 (82.7) 173 (80.8)
PI-RADS score 0.525
  4 95 (44.4) 101 (47.2)
  5 119 (55.6) 113 (52.8)

Table 7

Optimal cut-off value and AUC of the development cohort after PSM"

Items AUC Cut-off value/mm Sensitivity (95%CI) Specificity (95%CI) Youden index
All 0.706 16.5 0.583 (0.529-0.635) 0.756 (0.644-0.843) 0.339
Peripheral zone 0.767 11.5 0.808 (0.741-0.862) 0.622 (0.448-0.771) 0.430
Transition zone 0.712 16.5 0.699 (0.624-0.765) 0.683 (0.518-0.814) 0.382

Table 8

Validation of the optimal cut-off value of the maximum diameter of the lesions in the development cohort"

Items Cut-off value in development cohort 15 mm
Sensitivity (95%CI) Specificity (95%CI) Youden index Sensitivity (95%CI) Specificity (95%CI) Youden index
All 0.402 (0.331-0.477) 0.700 (0.577-0.801) 0.102 0.538 (0.463-0.611) 0.629 (0.504-0.739) 0.167
Peripheral zone 0.694 (0.612-0.766) 0.643 (0.480-0.780) 0.337 0.497 (0.414-0.580) 0.786 (0.628-0.892) 0.283
Transition zone 0.622 (0.448-0.771) 0.536 (0.342-0.720) 0.158 0.703 (0.528-0.836) 0.393 (0.221-0.593) 0.096
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